Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007247 0.008159 0.009155 0.010327 0.011673 0.013171 0.014972
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.005788 0.007019 0.008482 0.010362 0.012726 0.015621 0.019464
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005160 0.006576 0.008358 0.010787 0.014044 0.018311 0.024400
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004500 0.005959 0.007877 0.010618 0.014487 0.019837 0.027938
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004064 0.005562 0.007608 0.010654 0.015152 0.021680 0.032112
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003639 0.005121 0.007213 0.010437 0.015390 0.022890 0.035456
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003409 0.004927 0.007136 0.010660 0.016282 0.025158 0.040748
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003153 0.004665 0.006926 0.010644 0.016783 0.026844 0.045296
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002828 0.004266 0.006467 0.010180 0.016489 0.027169 0.047498
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002634 0.004053 0.006275 0.010122 0.016857 0.028642 0.051963
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002573 0.004044 0.006405 0.010609 0.018209 0.032002 0.060491
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002354 0.003759 0.006056 0.010233 0.017973 0.032417 0.063253
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002172 0.003527 0.005787 0.009990 0.017987 0.033365 0.067403
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002054 0.003395 0.005678 0.010029 0.018544 0.035459 0.074395
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002005 0.003377 0.005767 0.010438 0.019864 0.039262 0.085879
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001876 0.003207 0.005566 0.010276 0.020013 0.040631 0.091950
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001786 0.003100 0.005473 0.010310 0.020568 0.042947 0.100746
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001673 0.002942 0.005269 0.010102 0.020579 0.044037 0.106628
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001622 0.002895 0.005273 0.010316 0.021533 0.047426 0.119213
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001547 0.002798 0.005172 0.010301 0.021972 0.049650 0.129079
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001430 0.002611 0.004880 0.009853 0.021366 0.049241 0.131385
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001364 0.002520 0.004774 0.009798 0.021674 0.051166 0.140952
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001356 0.002543 0.004899 0.010267 0.023297 0.056714 0.162814